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- Technology
concentration is now a board-level resilience concern.
- Shared
providers can create market-wide points of failure.
- Indirect
dependencies are harder to see than direct suppliers.
- Traditional
risk methods often miss systemic exposure.
- Boards
need clearer ownership of critical dependencies.
- Scenario testing should include ecosystem-wide disruption
Ahead of Next
Gen OpRisk Europe, we spoke to Ricardo about why systemic technology
concentration risk is becoming a defining resilience challenge for Boards and
executive teams. In this conversation, he shares his perspective on hidden
dependencies, market-wide vulnerabilities and the practical actions
organisations should be taking now.
Technology concentration risk has become a
Board-level concern. What has changed in recent years?
Over
the last decade, technology has become deeply embedded in how organisations
operate, serve customers and deliver critical services. What has changed is not
simply the level of dependence on technology, but the degree of concentration
behind that dependence.
Many
organisations have independently made similar decisions in pursuit of
efficiency, scalability and innovation. Individually, these decisions often
make sense. Collectively, they can create a very different risk profile. What I
have observed in practice is that this shift becomes visible at Board level not
when a provider fails, but when an organisation realises that the same
disruption could affect many of its peers simultaneously.
The
issue is no longer whether an organisation understands its own technology
dependencies. The challenge is understanding where those dependencies converge
across an industry, a market or a critical infrastructure ecosystem.
This
shift is also reflected in recent regulatory developments. Having led DORA
implementation across two regulated entities under different supervisory
regimes, one of the clearest changes I have observed is the increasing focus on
ICT concentration risk as a resilience and governance concern, rather than
purely a technology issue.
As a
result, technology concentration has moved beyond being a procurement,
outsourcing or technology risk topic. It has become a resilience and governance
issue that increasingly requires Board attention. When large numbers of
organisations depend on the same providers, platforms or infrastructures, the
potential impact of disruption extends far beyond any individual firm.
The
conversation is shifting from "Are we dependent?" to "How many
others are dependent on the same thing, and what happens if that dependency is
disrupted?"
The
real risk is often not the dependency itself. It is the fact that many
organisations have become dependent on the same thing.
Many organisations understand their direct
technology providers, but far fewer understand their indirect dependencies. Why
is this becoming such a challenge?
Most
organisations have made significant progress in understanding their critical
third parties. The challenge today is that risk does not stop at the
contractual boundary.
A
financial institution may know which cloud provider it uses, which software
vendors support critical services, and which outsourcing partners deliver key
capabilities. What is often less visible are the layers of dependency that sit
behind them.
Many
providers rely on other providers. Software platforms depend on cloud
infrastructure. Critical services may share common data centres,
telecommunications networks or specialist technology suppliers. Over time,
organisations can become connected through complex chains of dependency that
were never designed or managed as a single system.
The
challenge is not a lack of information. It is the increasing complexity of the
ecosystem itself.
Understanding
direct relationships is relatively straightforward. Understanding how
dependencies converge across multiple firms, providers and infrastructures is
considerably more difficult. Yet this is often where concentration risk becomes
visible.
For
resilience leaders, the question is no longer simply "Who do we depend
on?" It is increasingly "Who do our providers depend on, and
where do those dependencies overlap with the rest of the market?"
The issue is often not that a provider fails,
but that many organisations depend on the same provider. Why does technology
concentration create a different type of risk?
Traditional
third-party risk tends to focus on the impact of a disruption on a single
organisation. Concentration risk introduces a different dimension: the
possibility that the same event affects many organisations at the same time.
If
multiple firms depend on the same technology provider, infrastructure platform
or critical service, a disruption may no longer remain an isolated operational
issue. It can quickly become a market-wide resilience challenge.
What
makes concentration risk different is not necessarily the likelihood of
failure. It is the scale and simultaneity of the consequences when failure
occurs.
A
single outage, cyber incident or operational disruption can affect
organisations that may have no direct relationship with one another, yet share
the same underlying dependency. In highly interconnected sectors such as
financial services, those effects can extend beyond individual firms and
influence customers, markets and critical services.
This is
why technology concentration is increasingly being viewed through a systemic
lens. The real question is not whether an organisation can recover from a
disruption. It is whether large parts of an ecosystem have become dependent on
the same point of failure.
Concentration
risk emerges when many organisations become dependent on the same critical
capability, often without fully understanding the collective consequences.
Are organisations and regulators paying enough
attention to systemic technology concentration risk, or are important blind
spots still being overlooked?
There
has been significant progress in recent years. Regulators, Boards and executive
teams are paying far more attention to operational resilience, critical
dependencies and third-party risk than they did a decade ago.
That
increased focus is important because it has helped organisations improve
visibility over critical services, identify key providers and strengthen
resilience capabilities. In many respects, the industry is far better prepared
today than it was in the past.
However,
systemic concentration risk remains a relatively new challenge. Traditional
risk management approaches were largely designed to understand risks within an
individual organisation. Technology concentration requires us to think beyond
organisational boundaries and consider how decisions made independently by many
firms can create shared vulnerabilities across an ecosystem.
This is
where some important blind spots still exist. Organisations may have a good
understanding of their own critical providers while having limited visibility
of how those dependencies overlap with peers, market infrastructures or other
critical sectors.
The
industry has made considerable progress in managing individual dependencies.
The next stage of maturity is understanding the systemic consequences that can
emerge when many organisations depend on the same providers, technologies or
infrastructures.
The
challenge is becoming less about visibility within a firm and more about
visibility across a system.
What practical actions should Boards and
executive teams take today to better understand and manage systemic technology
risk?
The
first step is recognising that technology concentration is not solely a
technology issue. It is a business resilience issue and, increasingly, a
strategic governance issue.
Boards
do not need to understand every technical detail of a cloud architecture or
technology platform. What they do need to understand is where the
organisation's most critical services depend on a small number of providers,
infrastructures or shared capabilities.
In my
experience, that consolidated understanding rarely exists in a single place. It
is often fragmented across technology, operations, risk and procurement
functions, each with partial visibility. One of the most important governance
decisions an organisation can make is to establish clear executive
accountability for bringing those perspectives together.
A
useful starting point is to ask a direct question: What would happen if this
dependency became unavailable, and how many others would be affected at the
same time?
That
conversation often leads organisations beyond traditional third-party risk
management and towards a broader understanding of systemic exposure. It also
tends to reveal accountability gaps: dependencies that everyone was aware of,
but no one truly owned.
Having
worked extensively with resilience and third-party governance frameworks, one
of the most common observations is that organisations often have more
information than they think. The challenge is not always visibility. It is
converting fragmented information into clear ownership, informed decisions and
effective action.
Executive
teams should also challenge assumptions around resilience. In many cases,
organisations focus heavily on the resilience of individual providers, while
paying less attention to the concentration created by relying on the same
providers as the rest of the market. Continuity arrangements that assume a
provider remains available while competitors recover are often built on a
premise that concentration risk makes increasingly unlikely.
Finally,
resilience exercises and scenario testing should increasingly consider
ecosystem-wide disruption, not just firm-specific events. The objective is not
to eliminate concentration risk entirely. In many cases that is neither
practical nor desirable. The objective is to understand where concentration
matters most, make informed trade-offs and ensure the organisation can respond
effectively when disruption occurs.
Resilience
is not about avoiding every dependency. It is about understanding which
dependencies matter, and making conscious decisions about them.
Biography coming soon