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- Climate risk should be managed
as a core financial risk affecting borrower viability, asset quality,
collateral values and broader financial stability.
- Risk appetite frameworks need
explicit climate-related exposure limits, sector analysis and monitoring
of transition-sensitive or potentially stranded assets.
- Governance should span
treasury, risk and business teams, with clear accountability beyond
sustainability functions alone.
- Capital allocation and funding strategies will increasingly favour resilient clients, credible transition plans and bankable green investment opportunities.
- Institutions should prepare for evolving regulation through stronger climate data, disclosure, capital frameworks and adaptable transition planning capabilities
Ahead of Balance Sheet Management Europe, we
spoke with Libor Krkoska about how climate risk is reshaping the priorities of
financial institutions. In this interview, he explores how banks can embed
climate considerations into balance sheet planning, strengthen governance and
risk appetite frameworks, and position themselves for the regulatory, funding
and capital allocation challenges ahead.
How
should organisations be integrating climate risk into balance sheet planning,
particularly in relation to capital adequacy, liquidity, credit quality, and
collateral valuation?
Climate
risk should be treated as a core financial risk and integrated into balance
sheet planning in the same way as credit quality or liquidity. This means
assessing both transition risks, such as policy changes, carbon pricing and
technology shifts, and physical risks, including heat, flooding and other
climate related disruptions. These risks can affect borrower viability,
collateral values, insurance availability and broader financial stability.
Institutions should therefore strengthen climate related risk assessment,
improve data and disclosure, and embed these considerations into credit
analysis, portfolio monitoring and capital planning.
How
should institutions better align their risk appetite framework with
climate-related exposures, and what steps are most integral to take in order to
manage concentration risks in high-transition or potentially stranded asset
sectors?
Risk
appetite frameworks should explicitly capture climate related exposures,
particularly in carbon intensive, hard to abate or otherwise transition
sensitive sectors. Institutions need to understand how regulation, market
demand, carbon pricing, supply chain pressures and technology change could
affect client competitiveness and credit quality. Transition plans are a useful
tool in this context: they help assess whether clients have credible pathways
to adapt their business models, manage risks and identify investment needs. For
concentration risks, institutions should combine sector level analysis with
portfolio monitoring, clear exposure limits where appropriate, and proactive
engagement with clients whose assets may face declining value or reduced market
access.
What
governance structures should be in place to manage climate risk across
treasury, risk, and business functions, and where do you see gaps in ownership
or accountability today?
Effective
governance requires climate risk to be embedded across strategy, risk
management, business planning, disclosure and investment decision making. It
should not sit only with sustainability teams. Treasury, risk and business
functions each have a role: treasury in funding and liquidity implications,
risk in integrating climate factors into the risk appetite and credit
processes, and business teams in client engagement and origination of bankable
green investments. The EBRD’s approach highlights transition planning at client
level, covering governance, strategy, metrics and targets, risk management and
disclosure. The main gap is often fragmented ownership of climate risks, where
climate risk is recognised but not yet fully embedded in mainstream credit
analysis, monitoring and accountability structures.
Looking
ahead, how do you expect climate risk to influence capital allocation
decisions, funding strategy, and long-term balance sheet resilience?
Climate
risk will increasingly influence both the cost and direction of capital.
Institutions will need to allocate more capital towards clients, sectors and
infrastructure that are resilient, competitive and aligned with the green
transition, while managing exposure to activities facing higher transition or
physical risks. The scale of investment required is significant: green related
financial needs in the EBRD regions are projected to rise to more than €500
billion by 2030. This creates both risk and opportunity. Institutions that can
identify bankable green projects, support adaptation and resilience, and
mobilise private capital will be better positioned to protect asset quality,
diversify funding sources and strengthen long-term balance sheet resilience.
As
regulatory expectations evolve—including potential carbon-linked capital
charges and enhanced disclosure requirements—how should institutions be
preparing to adapt frameworks and demonstrate compliance while maintaining
strategic flexibility?
Institutions
should invest now in the capabilities that will allow them to respond credibly
to evolving regulation: better climate data, stronger disclosure, integration
of climate related financial risk into credit and capital frameworks, and
practical transition planning. Regulatory and investor expectations are already
pushing financial institutions to assess environmental risks more
systematically and disclose sustainability related information. At the same
time, frameworks need to remain flexible, as policy pathways, technologies and
client needs will continue to evolve. The priority is to build systems that
support compliance, but also enable institutions to identify opportunities,
develop green finance products and adjust capital allocation as markets and
regulation change.
Libor Krkoška has been Deputy Director, Country Strategy at the EBRD since November 2018. He joined the EBRD in 1997, initially working in the Chief Economist Office and then as the Head of Office in Moldova, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Cyprus. Before coming to the EBRD, Libor was a researcher in the Economic Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences from 1994, and, prior to that, worked for Česka Pojistovna, the largest Czech insurance company. Libor holds a Ph.D. in Economics from CERGE-EI in Prague, was a Fulbright Scholar at the University of Pennsylvania, and obtained a Masters degree in Mathematics from Charles University in Prague.
