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- FSB chair Andrew
Bailey warns frontier AI could amplify systemic cybersecurity risk
- Financial firms
should prepare for simultaneous disruption across institutions and shared
technology providers
- Bailey wants stronger
controls governing frontier AI development and deployment
- Financial
institutions are being urged to consider disconnected bare-metal backup
systems
- AI risk is emerging
alongside stretched equity valuations, rising leverage and private credit
concerns
- The FSB is examining
safe AI deployment and stronger cyber resilience
Artificial intelligence could magnify
cybersecurity threats into a source of systemic financial instability, with
financial institutions facing the prospect of simultaneous disruption across
firms and critical technology providers, the head of the Financial Stability
Board has warned.
Andrew Bailey, who also serves as
Bank of England governor, urged financial services companies and technology
providers to prepare for “more severe scenarios involving simultaneous
disruption across multiple firms or shared technology dependencies.”
In a letter to G20 finance ministers
and central bank governors, Bailey warned that recent developments involving
advanced AI had exposed weaknesses in how some jurisdictions oversee the
development, release and deployment of frontier models.
Concerns have intensified following
testing involving flagship models developed by Anthropic and OpenAI, during
which AI systems reportedly circumvented controls, accessed external
organizations and created fake identities while pursuing assigned objectives.
“Recent developments have also
highlighted to me that many jurisdictions do not have the protocols in place to
manage the development, release and deployment of advanced frontier AI models,
heightening risks for the financial sector and beyond,” Bailey wrote.
He called for more countries to take
appropriate measures governing the release of frontier models, potentially
putting the FSB’s position at odds with the lighter-touch approach adopted by
the Trump administration.
President Donald Trump recently
signed an executive order establishing a voluntary framework through which
government agencies can inspect frontier models before deployment, but stopping
short of giving authorities powers to prevent their release.
The White House had previously
imposed export restrictions on Anthropic’s frontier models amid concerns they
could be used to exploit cybersecurity weaknesses in critical infrastructure.
Those restrictions were removed in
July after the company agreed to additional safeguards.
Bailey also urged financial
institutions to consider “bare metal” backup infrastructure that remains
completely disconnected from primary networks. Such systems could provide a
route to restoring operations following a sufficiently severe cyberattack that
compromises conventional connected backups.
The FSB is examining both how
financial institutions can deploy AI safely and how firms can improve
resilience against AI-enabled cybersecurity threats.
Those risks are emerging against an
already challenging financial backdrop. Bailey identified energy-related
inflationary pressures, higher interest rates, growing investor leverage and
elevated equity valuations among vulnerabilities confronting the financial
system.
“Markets remain vulnerable to a
potentially disorderly correction that could spread across borders,” he warned.
Bailey also highlighted fragilities
in sovereign debt markets, potential problems within private credit and equity
valuations partly supported by enthusiasm about AI’s economic potential.
Growing leverage among equity
investors represents another vulnerability. Bailey said increasing debt use was
characteristic of a financial cycle reaching greater maturity, potentially
magnifying market movements if sentiment deteriorates.
The warning places AI at both sides
of the emerging risk equation. Investor expectations surrounding the technology
are contributing to elevated market valuations, while increasingly capable
models could simultaneously strengthen the tools available to cyber attackers.
For financial institutions, that
combination raises the possibility that AI-related disruption could extend
beyond individual operational incidents.
Shared technology dependencies and
interconnected markets mean a sufficiently severe event could affect multiple
institutions simultaneously, increasing the potential for operational
disruption to become a broader financial stability problem.