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Resilience Now Depends on Speed Not Prediction
Keith Davies argues that organizations have become better at handling crises, but the nature of risk has changed. Success increasingly depends on rapid decision-making, ecosystem resilience, and strong risk culture rather than the ability to predict the next disruption.
Jul 21, 2026
Keith Davies
Keith Davies, Group Chief Risk & Compliance Officer, Admiral PLC
Tags: Operational and Non Financial Risk
Resilience Now Depends on Speed Not Prediction
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization



  • Keith Davies believes organizations have become more resilient since COVID-19
  • Modern risks are defined by speed, interconnectedness, and opacity
  • Future crises may require greater self-reliance from firms
  • Ecosystem resilience is becoming more important than firm-level resilience alone
  • Organizations should stress test combined scenarios rather than isolated events
  • Risk culture remains fundamental to resilience
  • Sustainability should be embedded within strategy
  • Success depends on speed of response rather than perfect prediction



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