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When Regulators Sound the Alarm: Why Geopolitical Risk Is No Longer a Footnote
Geopolitical risk has become the defining challenge for global banks. Regulators across Europe and the US are demanding integrated, forward-looking risk management strategies that treat geopolitical instability as a central, not peripheral, concern. This article explores how supervisory priorities, data insights and evolving risk hierarchies are forcing institutions to modernize their modeling and stress-testing capabilities.
Oct 27, 2025
David Hough
David Hough, Senior Advisor Balance Sheet Management, FIS Global
When Regulators Sound the Alarm: Why Geopolitical Risk Is No Longer a Footnote
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
  • Global regulators are warning that geopolitical risk is now central to financial stability.
  • EBA stress tests show €547bn potential losses for 64 banks under severe geopolitical shocks.
  • ECB’s 2025–27 priorities shift focus to resilience against macro-financial and geopolitical threats.
  • Banks are cutting cross-border exposure but lack integrated modeling tools.
  • 59% of risk leaders now rank geopolitics above macroeconomic risks; 86% need better scenario analysis.
  • Institutions must evolve from static compliance to dynamic, integrated risk management.
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