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Article
Supply Chains - The Hidden Faultline in Financial Markets
With geopolitics and climate pressures reshaping trade, supply chains have become a silent catalyst for market volatility. Forward-looking risk strategies now hinge on understanding complex interdependencies and preparing for the unexpected.
Aug 07, 2025
Grigory Lunyakov, Americas Head of MRM for GEM, GFX, and CVA, Deutsche Bank
Tags:
Stress Testing
Operational and Non Financial Risk
Market Risk
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
- Supply chain disruptions are now a central risk for financial markets, not just a logistical issue
- The Global Supply Chain Pressure Index shows increased volatility since 2017
- Complex global interdependence makes supply chains vulnerable in crisis
- Climate change and geopolitical tensions are key disruption drivers
- A multipolar world is reshaping trade routes and production maps
- Reshoring is limited, but near-shoring to countries like Mexico and Vietnam is growing
- Disruptions impact markets via costs, GDP hits, and working capital strain
- Inflation often follows supply chain stress, triggering central bank tightening
- Portfolio stress testing must incorporate forward-looking geopolitical scenarios
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