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From Climate Risk to Climate Resilience: The Future of Sovereign Risk and Adaptation Finance
Physical climate risk is emerging as a significant factor in sovereign and corporate credit assessments, while adaptation is increasingly being recognised as a financial stability issue. In this Q&A, Dr. Arthur Krebbers explores how investors are incorporating climate resilience into risk analysis, the challenges associated with financing adaptation at scale, and why sovereign bond markets may increasingly price climate preparedness in the years ahead. He also outlines what a climate-resilient financial system could look like by 2040.
Oct 12, 2026

Arthur Krebbers, Managing Director, Sustainable Finance Advisory, NatWest Markets N.V
Tags:
ESG and Climate Risk
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
- Physical climate risk is becoming increasingly relevant within sovereign and corporate credit assessments.
- Important gaps remain in climate data, adaptation disclosure and risk measurement methodologies.
- Adaptation is increasingly viewed as a financial stability and risk management issue.
- Public-private partnerships play a key role in mobilising resilience and adaptation capital.
- Sovereign bond markets are likely to place greater emphasis on climate resilience and preparedness over time.
- Better disclosures, benchmarks and climate analytics will support more informed investment decisions.
- Financial innovation will be essential to expanding adaptation investment opportunities.
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