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Dimon Warns of “Stormy Seas” as Tariff Chaos Threatens Banking Stability
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has warned that persistent tariff uncertainty and a brewing trade conflict with China may destabilize financial markets and stall economic activity. While emphasizing the bank's resilience, Dimon urged policymakers to reach trade agreements swiftly. Investment activity remains cautious, with rising fears of a potential recession.
Apr 14, 2025
Tags: Market Risk Industry News
Dimon Warns of “Stormy Seas” as Tariff Chaos Threatens Banking Stability
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  • Dimon urges swift trade deal resolution amid persistent tariff uncertainty
  • JPMorgan flags risks to global banking from escalating U.S.-China tensions
  • Investment activity slows as companies adopt a wait-and-see approach
  • CFO Barnum says the market outlook is “unusually uncertain”
  • Bank builds $973M in reserves due to risk environment
  • M&A activity and hiring plans stall among mid-sized clients
  • Dimon warns of reputational risks for U.S. banks abroad
  • JPMorgan reports $14.6B in net income, up 9%
  • Tariff policy is cited as a key factor shaping risk models and strategy
  • Dimon critical of regulation, welcomes potential reforms

Newsletter - in-text

The growing uncertainty around U.S. trade policy is weighing heavily on Wall Street’s largest institutions, with JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon urging the White House to work fast to finalize global trade agreements.

Speaking as the bank reported its first-quarter earnings, Dimon struck a cautious tone about the trajectory of the US economy and the challenges banks face in a volatile policy environment. 

Dimon stressed the urgent need for clarity, calling on the Treasury and administration officials to nail down trade agreements with partners as quickly as possible, warning that a timely resolution could mitigate the aftershock of tariffs that would continue to be felt months from now. 

Of the long tail on the announcements of the last two weeks, he said: “Add that to the list of worries – we will be in the crosshairs,” Dimon warned, citing the reputational and operational risks for American financial institutions abroad.

Dimon’s remarks follow President Trump’s decision to suspend ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on many countries for 90 days, while keeping and raising tariffs on Chinese goods – a move which many fear will escalate the stand-off with Beijing – particularly in light of China’s retaliatory 84% tariff on US imports.

With talk of recession heavy in the air following Trump’s announcements, global markets have since experienced sharp swings, prompting JPMorgan’s leadership to point to volatile commercial behavior, and a slowdown in corporate decision-making. 

CFO Jeremy Barnum noted that in despite quarterly banking revenues climbing to $2.3 billion, and a 12% year-on-year increase in fees, conversion of client pipelines and the origination of new deals remains highly dependent on reduced economic ambiguity. 

"The focus right now is on the future, which is obviously unusually uncertain," Barnum told analysts, adding that many companies are hesitant to move forward with mergers or major investments.

Dimon says larger corporations may be better equipped to weather the storm, but middle-market players are postponing hiring and deal-making, meaning the current climate is stalling momentum in sectors that normally drive banking revenues.

That said, he says JPMorgan remains well-capitalized and capable of withstanding shocks, stressing that the bank has “plenty of capital, plenty of liquidity to get through whatever the stormy seas are”.

But he paints a broader macroeconomic picture in which even the biggest banks are not immune to policy shocks – a potential reality that saw JPMorgan add nearly $1 billion to reserves last quarter in anticipation of potential credit losses.

Like many others over the past fortnight, Dimon also worries about inconsistent policy and tariff aggression fueling global skepticism around America’s place on the global stage.

“Some clients or some countries will feel differently about American banks, and we’ll just have to deal with that,” he said.

Dimon’s and Barnum’s comments make it clear that caution, rather than innovation, is shaping strategy.

Dimon noted that earnings estimates are already being revised downward across industries and specifically cited M&A activity and middle-market hiring plans as areas showing signs of hesitation.

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