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Hidden Risks Threaten Balance Sheets as Rate Volatility Returns
Interest rate volatility is exposing weaknesses in traditional balance sheet management frameworks, forcing banks to rethink structural hedging, deposit modelling, and governance. Drawing on lessons from the 2022-2025 rate cycle, the article explores how changing customer behavior, rising regulatory scrutiny, and evolving credit spread risks are reshaping asset liability management, while highlighting the need for faster decision-making and more dynamic risk responses.
Jun 08, 2026
Center for Financial Professionals
Center for Financial Professionals ,
Tags: ALM, Treasury and Liquidity Risk
Hidden Risks Threaten Balance Sheets as Rate Volatility Returns
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization

  • Sustained interest rate volatility is exposing weaknesses in traditional balance sheet management frameworks
  • Structural hedges have become a major driver of earnings stability for many banks
  • Deposit behavior since 2022 has challenged long-standing assumptions about customer loyalty and pricing sensitivity
  • Non-linear deposit betas and faster digital migration are reshaping ALM models
  • Regulators are increasing scrutiny of behavioral assumptions and interest rate risk frameworks
  • Credit spread risk is emerging as a first-order balance sheet concern rather than a secondary consideration
  • Institutions must move beyond static scenarios and build dynamic response capabilities
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