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Article
Climate Resilience Could Redefine Sovereign Credit Risk and Investment
Dr. Arthur Krebbers of NatWest Markets N.V. examines how physical climate risks are reshaping sovereign credit assessments and investment decisions. He highlights the importance of adaptation financing, improved climate analytics and credible resilience strategies, arguing that preparedness could increasingly influence sovereign borrowing costs and financial stability
Oct 13, 2026
Arthur Krebbers, Managing Director, Sustainable Finance Advisory, NatWest Markets N.V
Tags:
ESG and Climate Risk
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
- Physical climate risk
is becoming increasingly important in sovereign and corporate credit
assessments
- Data gaps and
inconsistent adaptation disclosures complicate risk measurement
- Institutional
capacity and governance influence climate resilience
- Public-private
partnerships are essential to mobilizing adaptation investment
- Sovereign bond
markets may increasingly price climate preparedness into borrowing costs
- Improved disclosures,
benchmarks and AI-supported analytics will strengthen investment decisions
- Financial innovation
could transform adaptation into a long-term investment opportunity
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