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Article
Geopolitical Risk Playbooks Cannot Predict the Next Crisis
Geopolitical crises are moving too quickly for rigid playbooks to predict every outcome. Senior risk and sanctions leaders argue that banks instead need clear decision makers, adaptable crisis frameworks, defined risk tolerances and immediate access to expertise as sanctions regimes fragment and information accelerates.
Sep 25, 2026
Center for Financial Professionals ,
Tags:
Market Risk
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
- Geopolitical playbooks should identify decision makers rather than attempt to predict every crisis
- Banks must translate geopolitical events into their specific liquidity, capital and market exposures
- Scenario analysis and stress testing can help calibrate risk tolerance without encouraging overreaction
- Removing sanctions can be more complicated than imposing them because reentry requires wider risk decisions
- Diverging sanctions regimes are creating jurisdiction-specific challenges for multinational banks
- Crisis resilience ultimately depends on knowing who has the expertise and authority to act
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