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Article
Banks Can See Geopolitical Risk but Still Cannot Price It
Financial institutions increasingly recognize geopolitical risk but remain poorly equipped to translate shocks into balance-sheet consequences. The State of Systemic Risk 2026 finds significant gaps in quantitative modeling, data integration and scenario analysis, leaving banks struggling to connect geopolitical disruption with capital, liquidity, funding and earnings impacts.
Sep 30, 2026
Center for Financial Professionals ,
Tags:
Vendor and Third Party Risk
The views and opinions expressed in this content are those of the thought leader as an individual and are not attributed to CeFPro or any other organization
- Geopolitical and geoeconomic risk ranks as the leading near-term threat for 37% of respondents
- Only 10% fully integrate geopolitical scenarios into quantitative modeling and balance-sheet planning
- Just 13% report fully integrated risk and balance-sheet management capabilities
- Siloed data, legacy technology and weak scenario-modeling capabilities remain significant barriers
- Effective scenarios must connect external shocks to capital, liquidity, funding and earnings
- Risk architecture must ultimately translate scenarios into timely business decisions
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